Fonterra cuts milk worth forecast for second time

New Zealand’s largest dairy firm, the Fonterra Co-operative Group, has decreased down its  2023/24 season milk worth forecast for the second time this month.

Fonterra stated at present (Friday, August 18) that it needed to revise down its farmgate milk worth from earlier this month as a result of International Dairy Commerce (GDT) costs had continued to fall.

“It is a difficult time for New Zealand’s dairy farmers and the co-op is doing all it will probably to assist its farmers,” Fonterra’s chief govt Miles Hurrell stated at present.

The chief govt of the worldwide dairy vitamin co-op, owned by 9000 farmers, pointed to the autumn in complete milk powder costs within the newest GDT buying and selling occasion.

Miles Hurrell added: “GDT costs have fallen sharply since we launched our opening forecast for the season in Could, with the general index down 16% over that interval.  

“Whereas our large forecast vary assumed motion in GDT costs, complete milk powder costs fell 10.9% in the newest buying and selling occasion requiring us to revise our place once more.” 

Based on the chief govt of Fonterra decreased demand from key importing areas for complete milk powder has continued to “weigh on costs”.

“Whereas indications are demand will begin to return over the second half of FY24, we do count on the tempo of demand progress to be subdued relative to preliminary expectations.     

“Within the meantime, we’ll proceed to reply to market indicators and alter our forecast farmgate milk worth to make sure that the influence of present costs and foreign money actions is clear,” Hurrell added.

Fonterra at present confirmed that it has minimize its milk worth for 2023/24 from $6.25 – $7.75 per kilograms of milks solids (kgMS), with a midpoint of $7.00 per kgMS, to $6.00 – $7.50 per kgMS with a midpoint of $6.75 per kgMS. 

GDT

The International Dairy Commerce (GDT) index has seen a major fall of seven.4% following the most recent buying and selling occasion (Tuesday, August 15).

The index determine now stands at 850, the bottom index determine since November of 2018.

A complete of 33,580MT of product was offered on the newest occasion at a median worth of $2,875/MT.

Out of the merchandise that had been supplied at occasion, complete milk powder (WMP) took the most important hit, with that sub-index plunging by 10.9%, reflecting a median worth of $2,548/MT.